Why Kamala Harris Will Win in a Landslide
The Hidden Harris Vote Will Prevail
Kamala Harris was always going to win the popular vote, as has every Democratic Party presidential candidate since 2004. She’s been ahead in the national polls. The question has always been about seven swing states that pollsters keep telling us are essentially tied.
It’s also agreed that Donald Trump has a ceiling. He will never get over 46–47% of the vote and is as dependent on suppressing the vote and motivating his limited base as he is trying to expand the electorate.
The suggestion that Black male voters under fifty are moving to Trump in large numbers is false. Young Black men will vote more for Harris than any other demographic except for Black women. If Harris loses, it will be white men and white women who are to blame, not the small subsegment of Black men of a certain age.
In recent elections, swing states have not gone in opposite directions depending on how many visits they received from the candidate or what specific message was tailored to a state’s voters. They have all generally gone in the same direction, as happened in 2008, 2012, 2016, and 2020.
What will give Harris the edge in state after state is the enthusiasm of Democratic voters, which is fading among Republicans, and the number of…
