What I Got Right, What I Got Way Wrong, and What I Totally Should Have Known About the 2024 Election
Donald Trump and Republicans Win in a Rout
In the week before the election, I wrote two articles predicting that Kamala Harris would win in the 2024 election, not by a whisker but in a landslide. Boy, was I wrong! I wasn’t without reason for my predictions. I made the mistake of listening to what people said instead of watching what they did.
What I got right was predicting that the swing states would all tilt in the same direction. Past elections have suggested that all of them would break one way or the other. At the moment of this writing, they all moved toward Trump with races called in his favor in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. He leads in Michigan, Nevada, and Arizona. I was right about it being a landslide but wrong about the winner. At no point will I suggest the election was stolen or rigged. Electing Donald Trump accurately reflects the will of the people who bothered to vote.
The list of things I got wrong is longer. I listened to white women voters explaining their votes before the election and in exit interviews. They voted in favor of all the abortion initiatives in several states, passing everywhere but Florida that required a 60% margin to pass a change, only…
